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Radar Type

  [10/10
GRLevel3 radar from NWS station KBUF

The above image was produced by GRLevel3 software using NEXRAD Radar data from station KBUF.

255 AM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026 SYNOPSIS... A few strong to severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon toward the western Southern Tier, with potential for isolated gusty winds and heavy rainfall. Latest observations verify model trends for a slower cold frontal passage, with the east-west oriented boundary lying nearly stationary across southern Lake Ontario early this morning. This will keep at least the small chance for a shower in the forecast through the early morning hours. The main impact from the slower frontal passage will be the renewed chance for a few stronger thunderstorms this afternoon as the boundary slowly drifts south across western NY. By the time we reach peak diurnal heating, the front is expected to be located somewhere across the terrain areas south/southeast of Buffalo. With the front continuing to slowly push further south through the afternoon, this will leave a fairly short window for any severe weather possibility, somewhere on the order of 1 PM to 6 PM. Severe parameters are by no means ideal again this afternoon, with the better shear profiles north (stable side) of the cold front and the better instability/deeper moisture south of the NY/PA line. However, with 25-30 knots of deep layer shear ahead of the front combined with diurnal heating providing a moderately unstable environment, an isolated stronger storm or two cannot be ruled out inland of lake breeze circulations across this area, best chance inland areas of the Southern Tier as the front will clear south of this area into PA last. Area Forecast Discussion
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Updated: @ 2:14pm   (0 sec ago)
Temperature Current Conditions Forecast / Storm Prediction
Lake Erie:75 F
Lake Ontario:47 F
Currently Outside: Warmer 3.1°F than last hour.

84.0°F

Heat Index:  87.5°F
Feels like:  87.5°F
Warm
High Today
85.0°F
2:07 PM
Low Today
66.5°F
5:20 AM
Yest High
88.0°F
1:35 PM
Yest Low
66.6°F
4:58 AM
Sta* High
96.6°F
2020
Sta* Low
48.6°F
2022
* This Station's Records Since 12/2013
Rec* High
97.0°F
2020
Rec* Low
50.0°F
1962
Weather Server uptime 3 Days 23 Hours 28 Minutes 18 Seconds
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Public Info Statement
Partly cloudy, Dry Partly cloudy, Dry

Wind from ENE Wind:  ENE
1.0

Gusting to:
1.0 mph
Current Rain Rain:
0.01 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
11.0 of 100
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny
Hi 82°F Lo 63°F Hi 82°F

Click here for full Forecast
Dew Point Liquid Precipitation Wind Speed Sun/Moon
Current: Decreased 0.7°F since last hour. 68.6°F
Last Hour: Decreased 0.7°F since last hour. -0.7°F
High 1:09 PM: 73.9°F
Low 5:20 AM: 64.4°F
Record High: 78.3°F on
1-Jul-2026
Record Low: -13.5°F on
9-Feb-2026
Wetbulb: 73.8°F
Rain Today
rain graph

Today: 0.01 in
Yesterday: 0.01 in
Last 7 Days: 0.18 in
Jul Rain: 0.46 in
Jul to Date
  Avg:10
0.76 in
Jul to Date
  Diff from Avg:10
Under 0.3 in for the month 0.30 in
Jul Avg: 0.00 in
Diff from Avg: Over 0.46 in for the month 0.46 in
Season:1 20.47 in
YTD
  Avg:11
17.70 in
YTD
  Diff from Avg:11
Over 2.77 in for the year 2.77 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
10-Jul-2026
at 7:29 AM
50 rain days in 2026
3 days in July
0 days since last rain
Current: ENE  1.0 mph
1Hr Average: 3.6 mph
Wind Run: 7.21 miles
Wind Gust
Current: 1.0 mph
Today: 8.1 mph 1:06 PM
Month: 24.0 mph 9-Jul
Year: 34.5 mph 14-Mar
Record Gust: 34.5 mph
14-Mar-2026
Sunlight:
14 h 34 m 59 s
of Sunlight Yesterday
14 h 34 m 2 s
of Sunlight Today
Which is 57 sec shorter than
yesterday
14 h 33 m 1 s
of Sunlight Tomorrow
(Noon ?>) graph (Midnight
Legend

Waning Crescent
Waning Crescent, 25 days, 15 hours, 21 minutes in cycle
18%
Illuminated
Humidity Barometer
Current: Decreased 8% since last hour. 60%
Last Hour: Decreased 8% since last hour. 8%
High 5:28 AM: 94%
Low 2:11 PM: 59%
Record High: 96%
4-Mar-2026
Record Low: 20%
8-Apr-2026
Current: No Change 29.952 inHg
Last Hour: Steady
High 12:00 AM: 29.952
Low 12:00 AM: 29.952
Record High: 30.720 inHg
2-Mar-2026
Record Low: 27.416 inHg
22-Jun-2026
Cooling Degree Days Snow3 Heat Index Air
Today: 2.6
Jul: 111.4
2026 to Date: 204.4
Heating Degree Days
2026 to Date: 3353.5
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Jul Snow: No Change 0.00 in
Jul Avg: 0.00 in
Diff from Avg: 0.00 in
Season Total:2 89.30 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in July
15 snow days this season.2
Average 1st Snow:
0
Current: 87.5°F
High 1:09pm: 92.2°F
Yesterday: 95.0°F
Record: 104.0°F
30-Jun-2026
Quality
Index6:

60


Moderate
Density:
1.16 kg/m3
Current UV Index Current Solar Energy9
3.5
Sunburn in
32 Minutes
Highest:
1:13 PM
6.3
260 W/m2
26%
W/m2 SI
High Today:
12:46 PM
1032  W/m2
Record:
1032 W/m2
Almanac Irrigation Index5 Station All Time Records Cloud Level
Currently: Afternoon
YTD Avg Temp: 40.4°F
Sunrise: 5:46 am
Sunset: 8:54 pm
Moonrise: 1:38 am
Moonset: 5:13 pm
Full Moon: 29-Jun-2026
New Moon: 09:44 UTC
14-Jul-2026
Updated at Midnight
Current ET: 0.11 in
7-Days Rain: 0.18 in
7-Days ET: 1.33 in
7-Day:  1.147 in water in deficit of what evaporated in last 7 days. 1.147 in
July:  1.24 in water in deficit of what evaporated this month. 1.24 in
HIGHS: LOWS:
89.6°F
29-Jun-2026
-9.0°F
9-Feb-2026
Daytime Records
  87.6°F°F
29-Jun-2026
  6.3°F°F
08-Feb-2026
Nitetime Records
  81.0°F°F
01-Jul-2026
  -4.2°F°F
09-Feb-2026
ICN:5 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok | CON:4.7 | RCP:57%
1 Rain season: Jan 1st to Dec 31st.   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow manually measured usually around 7AM and 7PM.   5 Estimated amount of water needed to replace the water used by plants and evaporation from the past week. (Negative numbers mean amount of water needed, positive numbers mean excess water is present).   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated hourly between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   9 Solar Index represents either an absolute scale of solar energy (W/m²) using the station’s recorded maximum or a percentage of computed theoretical solar maximum using the station’s location and time of day. These indices differ most when the sun is low on the horizon. The current scale is shown, and will toggle if it or the icon is clicked.   10 Historical average only to day 10 of just the month of July for this station since 2013.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 10 of July for this station since 2013.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook This Afternoon & Tonight
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Hi 82°F
NWS forecast: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Local station forecast: Increasing clouds with little temp change.
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 63°F
NWS forecast: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Clear
Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny
Hi 82°F Lo 60°F Hi 84°F Lo 64°F Hi 86°F Lo 70°F Hi 87°F
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